Saturday, July 15, 2006

The sacking of Jerusalem

I am sick and tired of watching news broadcasts about Israeli military aggression followed by a detailed analysis of how this will affect oil prices. Every news channel does it, even the BBC, and it makes me physically ill. Once again I am reduced to watching the Swedish state channel for half unbiased information.

So, you ask me, what the hell is going on in the Middle East? Well my friend, this is the breakdown: Cold War contracts are running out all over the place these days. Apart from an increasingly isolated USA, Israel has no friend left on the geopolitical scene. America can’t support Israel with anything but rhetoric, not at this time, not with two wars going badly and at least one more on the drawing board.

Will a Jewish state exist in Palestine a hundred years from now? It doesn’t seem very likely anymore. Israel is no better off than a crusaders’ castle under siege. If she can’t make peace with her neighbours she will eventually perish. Not today, not in a year, but sometime within the foreseeable future. The current trouble will continue unless -

a) A fissure in the space-time continuum sucks Earth, this our crazy, blue planet, into a dimension where diplomacy works and morality prevails, or -

b) Terje Rød-Larsen and the rest of the team pull a rabbit out of the hat and the Security Council agrees on an enforcable resolution. The United Nations may be an undemocratic Cold War remnant, but at the present time it’s all we have. Robust European led U.N. peacekeeping missions to the Gaza Strip, the West Bank and the Golan Heights is perhaps the best we can hope for in the short term.

Otherwise: Escalation of the conflict, possibly engulfing the entire region in war.

Ba’ath-party led Syria is already in the fight. Jordan’s king Abdallah is a moderate, but there is the large internal Palestinian population to take into account. Egypt (from 1958-61 unified with Syria as the United Arab Republic) hasn’t forgotten the many humiliations of her past wars with Israel. Saudi Arabia is unstable, with only the corrupt ruling elite friendly to America. Iran, of course, is itching for an excuse to jump in the game. And then you have the squillions of trans-national religious and paramilitary groups operating in the region, all of them enemies of Israel.

Could the Arab world perceivably once again stand united against Israel? In my opinion it could very well do just that. But the USA wouldn’t let that happen, you say, and I agree. Not if there was any way to avoid it, not if it didn’t mean breaking its own neck in the process. You have to remember always that the United States of America is a merchant empire. To a soldier a pact may be a matter of honor, but a trader's word can be bought and sold. To the USA an alliance means nothing more than a simple cost/benefit calculation. If it becomes a question of oil or no oil, they'll send anyone over.

Be that as it may, the alternative to war is perhaps even grimmer: A return to the status quo, a relentless, slow-burning torture reducing the Palestinian people to the level of desperation required to make someone a suicide bomber.

Which of the above scenarios one prefers is a matter of taste, and perhaps of ideology. As much as I personally detest the atrocities committed by the Israeli Defence Force, I cringe at the thought of the potential retaliations carried out by Arab armies inside the borders of a collapsing Israeli state. If and when that citadel falls, it will be a good day only for the ravens.


Blogger teilhardo said...

Why do you think Israel has so many enemies?

6:53 am  
Blogger Mikkel said...

Because in spite of the recent history of the Jewish people, Israel maintains a brutal anti-Semitic Apartheid system. Yes, Arabs are Semites too.

7:15 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

U got my vote enytime enywere, even if u need a nosejob.

9:24 am  
Blogger Mikkel said...

Anonymous du liksom.

9:30 am  
Blogger Lasse said...

Thank you for this analysis. You do a better job than any journalist and most analysts. Here I will also appraise Swedish State television -They have ALWAYS done a fare better job than any Danish channel - in every category.

Watching the news one has to remember that interviewing a journalist at the spot does not necessarily enlighten you. The whole concept of journalists interviewing journalists is absurd! EVERY Q&A is ALWAYS rehearsed - Yes even the ones where they in the end ask a funny question. TV news totally lack self-criticism and depth!
A new phenomenon I noticed here in Denmark is this:
In the eager to place themselves in the middle of the events unfolding –the actually interrupt the event – that is the kind of reporting going on now. It is not the story but putting themselves in the centre that matters. Like a three year old craving for attention.

12:08 pm  
Blogger Mikkel said...

We report - you decide.

10:16 pm  
Blogger MGL said...

You forgot the vultures.

1:05 pm  
Blogger Mikkel said...

I am convinced now that Israel is doomed. There seems to be some sort of curse on the Jewish people.

7:10 pm  

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